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The Wall Street Journal Recently Rated Durham the Best Market in the Nation for Real Estate Investing |
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Share the Good News About Durham A recent Wall Street Journal article by M.P. McQueen has ranked Durham, North Carolina as the best real estate investing market in the nation. According to the article "Regions that rank highly for investment suitability are those where there is a low probability that home prices will fall further". The article goes on to say "In the best markets, home prices already are stabilizing. Durham, N.C., for instance, is home to Duke University and is near the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. Big companies like International Business Machines Corp., GlaxoSmithKline PLC and Nortel Networks Corp., as well as numerous biotech start-ups, have facilities at the nearby Research Triangle Corporate Park. About 40% of area jobs are in health care, education or government". |
Real-Estate Investing: the Best and Worst MarketsBy M.P. MCQUEENLooking to snap up some investment properties on the cheap? You may want to consider Durham, N.C., Indianapolis and Huntsville, Ala. They are among the best places to invest now, according to a new report that ranks the best and worst markets for conservative residential-real-estate investors. Hard-hit Las Vegas and Orlando, Fla., are among the riskiest. Local Market Monitor Inc., a Cary, N.C., firm that analyzes real-estate trends for lenders, builders and investors, compiled its first Investor Suitability Report using economic data through July 31 for 315 U.S. markets. The firm is best known for its housing-market forecasts, which use "equilibrium" home prices: what home values should be in relation to incomes, job growth and population. In its new report, it uses similar data to rank communities by their investment prospects, focusing on single-family homes. Regions that rank highly for investment suitability are those where there is a low probability that home prices will fall further, says Local Market Monitor President Ingo Winzer. They are places where income is growing moderately; where employment is relatively stable because of a large percentage of jobs in health care, education or government; and where a relatively small share of jobs is in construction or financial services, which have been volatile. (Job losses in government and education tend to come later in an economic cycle, so some areas could be hit harder in coming months.) The report, which excludes towns with fewer than 200,000 residents, focuses on price-appreciation potential instead of rental income, since falling home prices usually result in higher vacancy rates in apartment buildings and lower rents overall, Mr. Winzer says. Good markets for conservative investors are those that already have stabilized and should yield average returns, Mr. Winzer says. Dangerous markets probably will see further price declines and have little potential for a turnaround because of poor local economies. So-called speculative markets, by contrast, are those where prices could fall further, but which also have potential for greater appreciation of 3% to 5% annually after bottoming out—making them more suitable for investors with stronger stomachs. Local Market Monitor identifies Hagerstown, Md.; Jacksonville and Port St. Lucie, Fla.; Modesto, Calif.; and Myrtle Beach, S.C. as speculative areas. In the best markets, home prices already are stabilizing. Durham, N.C., for instance, is home to Duke University and is near the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. Big companies like International Business Machines Corp., GlaxoSmithKline PLC and Nortel Networks Corp., as well as numerous biotech start-ups, have facilities at the nearby Research Triangle Corporate Park. About 40% of area jobs are in health, education or government, according to Local Market Monitor. Haywood Davis, owner of a Century 21 real-estate brokerage in Durham, says home-sales volume in the area increased 13% last month over July 2009, though prices rose only slightly. Some other metro areas with large percentages of relatively stable jobs and moderate growth include Knoxville, Tenn.; Lexington, Ky.; and Indianapolis. Jason Moore, a 34-year-old auto-sales manager in Baltimore, took advantage of plunging home prices in his hometown of Indianapolis to snap up an investment property there—a brand-new four-bedroom, two-bath home—for $56,000 late in 2008. Prices in Indianapolis were falling because of foreclosures and rising unemployment. Disappointed with their stock-market investments, Mr. Moore and his wife, Keisha, 32, decided to buy an investment property to add to their portfolio. The Indiana house is generating a positive cash flow of about $300 a month in rent after mortgage, insurance, taxes and fees, he says. "It has been adding income, and the tax benefit has been helpful," Mr. Moore says. Yet in gambling-and-tourism-dependent Reno, Nev., home prices slid 50% from their market peak in 2006—and don't seem to have bottomed yet. Mr. Winzer calls the city "frankly dangerous" for investors, along with Las Vegas and Naples and Orlando, Fla., because home prices are still tumbling and local economies are shaky. John Burns, chief executive officer of John Burns Real Estate Consulting Inc. of Irvine, Calif., says he thinks Reno and Las Vegas have "overcorrected," but he agrees prices could fall further. Dana Hall-Bradley, a real-estate agent in Florida's Orlando-Kissimmee area, near Disney World, says sales were up 39% last month over July 2009. But prices are still sliding because most sales involve so-called distressed properties—bank-owned homes or short sales, where lenders agree to sell properties for less than they are owed. Investors, especially those from Canada, the U.K., Brazil and Venezuela, are buying vacation and retirement villas, condos and townhouses in the area, Ms. Hall-Bradley says, because prices already are 40% to 50% below what they were as late as 2007. Many are paying cash. Condos are even cheaper. "Right now you can get a condo for $30,000 that was selling for $150,000 to $200,000 in 2005 or 2006," she says. Eamon Lavin of Locust Valley, N.Y., recently purchased three condo units and a single-family home in Celebration, a planned community outside Orlando designed by Walt Disney Co. Mr. Lavin, 43, says he knows prices could tumble further but he isn't worried because he plans to rent out the properties for 10 or 15 years. "I love the area, and I think it is going to come back," he says. "I get more of a return on investment than putting it in a bank or anywhere else." Write to M.P. McQueen at mp.mcqueen@wsj.com |
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6 Tips for Home Owners Who Turn Into Landlords
EXPANDED PROP ORDINANCE TO GIVE CITY ADDITIONAL ENFORCEMENT AUTHORITY 02/12/2009 In an effort to strengthen enforcement laws and improve neighborhoods, the City of Raleigh has expanded its Probationary Rental Occupancy Permit (PROP) ordinance. The PROP ordinance serves as a tool to address rental property owners whose property is found to violate minimum housing, zoning and nuisance laws or have demonstrated a pattern of criminal convictions for noise and nuisance party violations. Under the expanded rules, activities resulting in a third conviction of certain behavior within a two-year period, will result in the landlord being required to obtain a PROP. This ordinance is effective Jan 1, 2009. The City of Raleigh has added the following crimes to the PROP ordinance: · Prostitution; The landlord placed in the PROP program must pay $500 per year for the two-year permit to cover the cost of administering the permit. The landlord must also attend a residential management course that is offered by or approved by the City of Raleigh. A landlord cited for a second code violation during the two-year probationary period could lose the rental permit for the property for two years. A third code violation could lead to a two-year revocation of PROPs issued for all other property rented by the landlord. The landlord would also be ineligible to apply for a new permit for two years. For more information about the City's PROP ordinance, call 831-6167.
Durham Begins Tiered Rate Billing for Water Services Today
Foreclosure flood brings more rentersReport: Rental rate hits record level in 2007By Inman News, Wednesday, April 30, 2008. The share of rental households jumped by about 1 million last year and this group is likely to expand further if foreclosure trends continue, Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies reports today, while the monthly rental rate reached a record high last year. "Now that large numbers of former owners are flooding back into rental markets, expanding the available supply of affordable rentals is critical," the report urges. Foreclosures will convert some homeowners to renters and will also displace renters who are living in foreclosure properties and may compound affordability problems in the rental market in the short term, according to the report, "America's Rental Housing: The Key to a Balanced National Policy." Nicolas P. Retsinas, director of the Harvard center, said in a statement that "the fallout from foreclosure is hitting the same neighborhoods where many of the nation's most economically vulnerable renters live." Investor-owned multifamily rental properties with one to four units have accounted for about 20 percent of all foreclosures, Retsinas stated. Annual growth in the share of renter households averaged 0.7 percent from 2003-06 before the 2.8 percent gain last year. "The growing numbers of renters must now compete for the limited supply of affordable housing, adding to the longstanding pressures in markets across the country," according to the report, which cites statistics from the National Low Income Housing Coalition (see related Inman News article) stating that no single minimum-wage earner who works full-time throughout the year can afford the cost of a modest rental unit in any market across the country. The debt burden of low-income renters has been growing, and the population of lowest-income renters in debt grew by 20 percent from 1995 to 2004, to 7.6 million, the Harvard center reported. Average outstanding debt for members of this lowest-income group rose 62 percent in inflation-adjusted terms, from $3,200 to $5,200. Affordability may ease in the long term, as "the flood of foreclosed properties onto the rental market could ease some of the affordability pressures, but only to the extent that for-sale units converted to rentals meet the needs of households in the market. Indeed, lowest-income renters may be unable to afford even the highly discounted asking rents on foreclosed homes," the report states. There are threats to the supply of affordable rental housing, as the U.S. Government Accountability Office estimates that mortgage restrictions and rental assistance contracts on about 1 million subsidized units are set to expire by 2013, and "limited funding ... hampers any widespread or permanent solution" to preserve this supply. "Since developing new affordable rental housing remains difficult without steep subsidy, preserving whatever low-cost units remain should be an urgent priority," and the report also suggests that such efforts rely on Congress to ensure adequate money is available for low-cost rental units. The report also recommends continuing efforts to eliminate land-use policies that limit affordable, higher-density rental housing in suburban areas, and that housing assistance programs also improve access to health and human services, child care, transportation and other workforce initiatives to promote higher-income employment. *** Daily Real Estate News | April 8, 2008
Families Feel Crunch From Rising Rents Residential rents are up across the country, confirms the National Low Income Housing Coalition in the latest issue of its annual report "Out of Reach." The organization identifies Hawaii, California, and New York as the least unaffordable states and names Connecticut's Stamford-Norwalk market as the most costly metropolitan area in the nation. According to the study, one in seven U.S. households is contributing more than half of their income toward keeping a roof over their heads; and low-income, minority, and first-time home buyers are especially being impacted by escalating shelter costs. "The numbers in 'Out of Reach' are a stark reminder that in nearly every community in our nation, families are struggling to make ends meet," said U.S. Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.), in a preface to the NLIHC report. "While we have federal programs in place to assist people in affordable housing, they are relatively small compared to the great need. More must be done to ensure housing opportunities for all." Source: Worcester Telegram & Gazette (Mass.), Bronislaus B. Kush (04/08/08) _______________________________ Daily Real Estate News | April 7, 2008 Average rents for U.S. apartments rose 1 percent in the first three months of 2008. This was the 24th consecutive quarter that rental property rates have risen, according to New York-based real estate research firm Reis Inc. The last time rents fell was the first quarter of 2002, when they declined by 0.2 percent, according to Reis. A soft housing market beset by stricter loan terms and falling home prices is the "dominant driver" pushing people to rent apartments, said Sam Chandan, chief economist at Reis. New York had the highest average rent at $2,790 a month, followed by San Francisco at $1,801, Fairfield County, Conn., at $1,759 and Boston at $1,620, Reis said. Source: Bloomberg News (04/05/2008) _______________________________Back to RentingA Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor predicts that about two-thirds of the five million renters who bought homes over the past decade will go back to renting because they can't afford their loans. William Wheaton, professor of economics and real estate at MIT, says that rents will eventually rise as a result, people will again see ownership as preferable to renting, and it will help turn housing around in two to three years.—P. Curry _______________________________ This article was published on: 03/01/2008 _______________________________ Hard-to-find housing
Glen Lennox will be missed, particularly by those fortunate enough to live in its affordable, centrally located housing. Where will they go if this property is redeveloped and upscaled? What effect will forcing this group of renters to search for other housing in this market have? Clearly the developers and current owners of this property stand to make a lot of money as this property is upgraded. Equally clearly, the current residents will be hard-pressed to find comparable housing, much of which is being torn down to construct much more profitable "luxury" housing. Competition for remaining low- and moderate-priced rental housing will drive up the rental costs for all renters, whether they live in Glen Lennox or not. The town of Chapel Hill should require, as a condition of granting the redevelopment permit, that the developers add an equivalent number of low- and moderate-income housing units within city limits, with equivalent access to public transportation. Redevelopment can be a good thing as long as we don't leave ordinary people behind as we do it. Taylor Jarnagin Durham _______________________________ Daily Real Estate News | March 21, 2008 Mortgage Rates Drop Below 6%
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Renters' rights are limited
The consumer protection specialist with the Attorney General's office said that the calls run the gamut, from security deposit refunds to repairs and early termination of lease.